Catch odds calculator
Every bait has its own weighted table, and each bite picks from it. Pick a bait to see exactly what it brings up, or a fish to find the bait that catches it most often.
- Catfish15.8%drip 1.58%
- Bluegill13.2%drip 1.32%
- Sea Urchin13.2%drip 1.32%
- Angelfish10.5%drip 1.05%
- Needlefish10.5%drip 1.05%
- Yellow Boxfish10.5%drip 1.05%
- Koi Fish9.21%drip 0.92%
- Clownfish7.89%drip 0.79%
- Bowlfish3.95%drip 0.39%
- Seahorse3.95%drip 0.39%
- Blue SharkMini-boss1.32%
- Value per bite
- $62.6
- Bait lost per catch
- 30% · $4.5
- Bite after
- 1–2.5 s
- Drip chance
- 10%
Get it: Island 3 shop, Island 4 shop, Island 5 shop. Value is for an average-size catch; sizes vary from a quarter to 1.75× and the price follows. Where you fish, the time and the weather don't change these odds.
Which bait pays best
Average sell value of one bite's catch, minus what you lose in bait on average (its price times the chance it's lost on a catch). Average-size fish; boss baits are left out.
| Bait | Price | Value per bite | Bait lost per catch | Profit per bite |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scientific Lure | $500 | $1,511 | $100 | $1,411 |
| Professional Lure | $50 | $318 | $12.5 | $306 |
| Standard Lure | $15 | $62.6 | $4.5 | $58.1 |
| Beginner Lure | $3 | $12.9 | $1 | $11.9 |
| Hot Dog | $1 | $7.5 | $0.4 | $7.1 |
| Fry | $0 | $6.8 | $0 | $6.8 |
| Ham | $0 | $3.9 | $0 | $3.9 |
| Coconut | $350 | $300 | $350 | $-50 |
| Crab Carcass | $10,000 | $4.9 | $2,000 | $-1,995 |
Dynamite under water
One blast brings up exactly 5 catches, each picked from the same shared table.
How a bite is picked
Each bait carries a list of catches with weights. When a fish bites, the game picks one entry in proportion to its weight, so a catch's chance is its weight divided by the total. Your rod, the island, the depth, the time of day and the weather don't change the list. A caught creature is "drip" (the shiny look) 10% of the time, plus 3 points per wishbone level; drip changes the look, not the price. Full rules are on the methodology page.